U.S. Geological Survey - http://www.usgs.gov U.S. Geological Survey - http://www.usgs.gov

FREQUENCY CURVES: TECHNIQUES OF WATER-RESOURCES INVESTIGATIONS OF THE UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY BOOK 4, CHAPTER A2

by H.C. Riggs

Prepared by the U.S. Geological Survey

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Preface
Abstract
Introduction
Cumulative distributions
Distributions used in hydrology
    Normal distribution
    Lognormal distribution
    Type I extreme-value distribution (Gumbel)
    Type III extreme-value distribution
    Pearson Type III distribution
    Graphically defined distributions
Mathematical curve fitting
    Normal distribution
    Three-parameter distributions
    Type I extreme-value distribution (Gumbel)
    Type III extreme-value distribution
Graphical fitting
    Example of graphical fitting
    Use of historical data
Comparison of mathematical and graphical fitting
Describing frequency curves
Interpretation of frequency curves
Special cumulative frequency curves
References cited

FIGURES

1. Graphs showing two normal distributions and their cumulative forms

2. Graphs showing normal and skewed distributions and their cumulative forms on a normal-probability plot

3. Graphs showing relative positions of the mean, median, and mode for right- skewed (upper) and left-skewed (lower) distributions

4. Frequency curves showing effect of direction of skew and direction of cumu- lation on position of the mean with respect to the median

5. Gumbel frequency curve of annual floods on Columbia River near the Dalles, Oreg., showing agreement with the plotted points

6. Frequency curve based on data from table 3, assuming that data are annual maximums

7. Frequency curve based on data from table 3, assuming that data are annual minimums

8. Design-probability curves (lower graphs) and the frequency curve on which they are based (upper graph)

9. Frequency curve of annual minimum flows and plot showing serial correlation, south Fork Obion River near Greenfield, Tenn.

TABLES

1. Frequency factors for Pearson Type III distribution

2. Means and standard deviations of reduced extremes

3. Computation of plotting position

ABSTRACT

This manual describes graphical and mathematical procedures for preparing frequency curves from samples of hydrologic data. It also discusses the theory of frequency curves, compares advantages of graphical and mathematical fitting, suggests methods of describing graphically defined frequency curves analytically, and emphasizes the correct interpretations of a frequency curve.



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