U.S. Geological Survey - http://www.usgs.gov U.S. Geological Survey - http://www.usgs.gov

FLOOD-FREQUENCY ANALYSES MANUAL OF HYDROLOGY: PART 3 FLOOD-FLOW TECHNIQUES

by T. Dalymple

Prepared by the U.S. Geological Survey

Geological Survey Water-Supply Paper 1543-A
Methods and Practices of the Geological Survey
1960

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Abstract
Introduction
Flood frequency at a gaging station
    Two kinds of flood series
        Annual floods
        Partial-duration series
        Relation between the two series
    Flood-frequency curves
        Discharge curves
        Stage curves
        Flood-volume curves
    Listing of data
        Annual-flood peaks
        Partial-duration series peaks
        Flood volumes
    Historical data
    Plotting positions
        Methods
        Plotting historical data
    Plotting paper
    Fitting frequency graphs
    Single-station analysis
Regional flood frequency
    Basic frequency curve
        Homogeneity test
    Mean annual flood
        Physiographic factors
        Meteorologic factors
        Composite factors
    Computation procedure
        Selection of stations
        Selection of base period
        Adjustment of records to base period
        Preliminary frequency curve
        The mean annual flood
        Homogeneity test
        Computation of median flood ratios
        Definition of regional frequency curve
        Estimation of mean annual flood
        Summary of procedure
    Special treatment for large streams
Plotting positions in frequency analysis, by W.B. Langbein
    Median
    Mean
    Mode
Characteristics of frequency curves based on a theoretical 1,000-year record, by M.A. Benson
    Base data
    Mean annual flood
    Short periods of record
        Periods used
        Drawing of frequency curves
        Arithmetic versus graphical mean annual flood
        Reliability of mean annual-flood values
        "Working range" of mean annual floods
        Reliability of flood magnitudes
    Composite flood-frequency curves
        Periods combined
        Results from composite graphs
        Effect of number of stations combined
        Median versus average ratios
        Theoretical distribution of composite curves
    Conclusions
Selected references
Index   

FIGURES

1. Flood data listing

2. Tabulation of flood-volume data

3. Flood-frequency curve, rectangular scale

4. Flood-frequency curve, logarithmic scale

5. Partial-duration series flood-frequency curve

6. Annual flood volume-frequency curves

7. Youghiogheny and Kiskiminetas River basins, showing location of gaging stations

8. Bar graph showing period of record of maximum annual peaks at gaging stations

9. Tabulation of flood data, Big Piney Run near Salisburg, Pa.

10. Correlation of annual floods, Big Piney Run versus Stony Creek

11. Preliminary frequency curve, Big Piney Run near Salisburg, Pa.

12. Homogeneity test chart

13. Regional frequency curve

14. Variation of mean annual flood with drainage area

15. Determination of mean annual flood from a short record

16. Flood-frequency curve for a 100-square-mile drainage basin

17. Variation of mean annual flood with distance along stream

18. Relation of flood frequencies to drainage area

19. Theoretical frequency curve

20. Frequency curves for 10-year periods

21. Frequency curves for 25-year periods

22. Frequency curves for 50-year periods

23. Frequency curves for 100-year periods

24. Recurrence intervals of 2.33-year flood

25. Computing range for mean annual flood

26. Recurrence intervals of 10-year flood

27. Composite frequency curves based on ten 10-year periods

28. Composite frequency curves based on ten 25-year periods

29. Composite frequency curves based on ten 50-year periods

30. Theoretical distribution of composite curves

ABSTRACT

This report describes the method used by the U.S. Geological Survey to determine the magnitude and frequency of momentary peak discharges at any place on a stream, whether a gaging-station record is available or not. The method is applicable to a region of any size, as a river basin or a State, so long as the region is hydrologically homogeneous.

The analysis provides two curves. The first expresses the flood discharge-time relation, showing variation of peak discharge, expressed as a ratio to the mean annual flood, with recurrence interval. The second relates the mean annual flood to the size of drainage area along, or to the size area and other significant basin characteristics.

A frequency curve may be defined for any place in the region by use of these two curves. The procedure is: (a) measure the drainage area and other appropriate basin characteristics from maps; (b) from the second curve, select the mean annual flood corresponding to the proper drainage area factors; (c) from the first curve, select ratios of peak discharge to mean annual flood for selected recurrence intervals, as 2, 10, 25, and 50 years; and (d) multiply these ratios by the mean annual flood and plot the resulting discharges of known frequency to define the frequency curve.

Two reports not previously given general circulation are included as sections of this report. These are "Plotting Positions in Frequency Analysis" by W.B. Langbein, and "Characteristics of Frequency Curves Based on a Theoretical 1,000-Year Record" by M.A. Benson.



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